6 Comments

What do you think about this report and the last bullet point? https://www.thirdway.org/report/the-two-decade-red-state-murder-problem

Expand full comment

The blacker a city, the worse the crime rate/increase. Blacks vote Dem. But not all Dem cities are black cities.

I'm not sure how they determine what is a "republican" city. The mayor? The city council? Party affiliation of residents? Over what time period?

I feel like the number of cities that have substantial republican legislative majorities over a long period of time are pretty small.

Expand full comment

Interesting that 2020-2021 had cities run by Independents have the largest rise. I'd be interested in seeing another graph of the percentage change from 2019-2021.

Expand full comment
author

There are only 2 independent cities that have data from 2019–2021, so I don't think the results regarding them are very meaningful. As a matter of fact, when I get the time, I want to repeat the calculation on a much wider sample of cities to see if the results are really robust.

Expand full comment

Why didnt you control for race and political affilation of states? For example, houston is democrat city but this city is located in rebublican state(texas).

Expand full comment
author

This is just about measuring a trend, not a deep analysis of causality.

Expand full comment